Cumulative Ordinary Kriging interpolation model to forecast radioactive fallout, and its application to Chernobyl and Fukushima assessment: a new method and mini review

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dc.contributor.authorKulahci, Fatih
dc.contributor.authorSen, Zekai
dc.date.accessioned2026-08-12T16:57:38Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentFırat Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThe Cumulative Ordinary Kriging (COK) interpolation method has been proposed for the spatial prediction of atmospheric radioactive fallout in any given region. COK is built on the Ordinary Kriging and Cumulative Semivariogram methods and combines all their advantages to achieve statistically significant results. It is verified in this paper the reliability of the results from COK with other well-known Modified Shepard's Method (MSM), Inverse Distance Square (INDSQ), Polynomial Regression (PR), Natural Neighbour (NN), Radial Basis (RB), and Kriging Method interpolation methods. The model is tested in detail and in every possible way in two and three dimensions and applied to real-time Cs-134 and Cs-137 radioactive fallout data from the Chernobyl and Fukushima reactor accidents by combining both experimental and theoretical results. The results obtained from the applications for all interpolation methods are included in the supplementary materials section at the end of the article for the benefit of the readers. COK can also be used for spatial modelling of any particle at micro or macro scale. It can contribute significantly to environmental quality, ecological, and human health.
dc.description.sponsorshipTUBITAK (Scientist Training Scholarship); Firat University Scientific Research Project Unit
dc.description.sponsorshipDr. Kulahci, one of the authors, attributes this article to the cherished memory of his first teachers, Muhammed Mazhar Ebci, Abdullah Karaokur, and Mehmet Ozbek. We would like to thank TUBITAK (Scientist Training Scholarship) and the Firat University Scientific Research Project Unit for their support. Chernobyl radioactive fallout data in this study can be accessed from Le Roux et al. (2010) reference. Fukushima radioactive fallout data were taken from Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology (MEXT) of Japan. In addition, both Chernobyl and Fukushima radioactive fallout data, tables in the main text were given. The authors also thank Dr. Secil Niksarlioglu for his help in drawing some of the graphs given in the appendix to this article. Finally, we would like to thank the Editor Dr. Georg Steinhauser and the journal management for their excellent management and the referees for their very constructive and positive comments.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11356-022-21921-4
dc.identifier.endpage64311
dc.identifier.issn0944-1344
dc.identifier.issn1614-7499
dc.identifier.issue43
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0001-6566-4308
dc.identifier.pmid35841508
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85134365866
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage64298
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-21921-4
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11508/46537
dc.identifier.volume29
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000826133000009
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMed
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Heidelberg
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Science and Pollution Research
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20260511
dc.subjectModel
dc.subjectRadioactive fallout
dc.subjectSpatial analysis
dc.subjectInterpolation
dc.subjectWeighting methods
dc.titleCumulative Ordinary Kriging interpolation model to forecast radioactive fallout, and its application to Chernobyl and Fukushima assessment: a new method and mini review
dc.typeReview Article

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